Insights
Notes from the field.
Our perspectives are drawn from our extensive experience in statecraft, and principal-level engagement on intelligence, security, and defense matters across the globe.
Field note Nº 05 · Economic Resilience · 3 min read
Chokepoints and Supply Chains
The hard constraint on global economic security is not manufacturing capacity or trade policy but a small number of maritime corridors that most national exposure assessments still underweight.
08 July 2026
Field note Nº 04 · Defense & Security · 3 min read
Reading the Gray Zone
Hybrid threats are designed to operate just below the threshold where attribution is possible, which means the states that manage them well are the ones that stopped waiting for proof before they acted.
10 June 2026
Field note Nº 03 · AI & Intelligence · 3 min read
Sovereign AI Without Dependency
Governments increasingly want the intelligence capability that AI platforms provide without accepting permanent dependency on the vendor that built them, and that tension is reshaping how these programs get structured.
22 April 2026
Field note Nº 02 · Defense & Security · 3 min read
Operating in Low Visibility Environments
When official reporting channels go quiet or unreliable, the organizations that keep functioning are the ones that have already learned to read the human network instead.
04 March 2026
Field note Nº 01 · Geopolitics · 3 min read
2026 Outlook
The year's security landscape will be defined less by treaties and summit communiqués than by informal shifts in who actually holds influence, and those shifts rarely show up in the indicators governments watch first.
15 January 2026
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